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2024-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 15-22 0-2 5-11 14 4 0 0 35 - -
Brook Lopez * 36 2-5 1-4 2-3 5 1 0 3 7 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 8-16 3-6 1-3 5 7 0 0 20 - -
Malik Beasley * 33 6-12 6-11 2-2 2 0 0 1 20 - -
Khris Middleton * 32 3-12 1-7 0-0 8 6 1 0 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Bobby Portis 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Jae Crowder 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Patrick Beverley 7 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
AJ Green 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 39 4-13 2-9 5-5 11 5 2 0 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 9-24 3-9 4-4 7 7 1 0 25 - -
Herbert Jones * 36 3-9 1-4 4-4 4 4 4 3 11 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 9-15 0-0 10-16 5 2 0 1 28 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 23 7-13 1-3 2-2 10 1 1 1 17 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 7 3 3 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 23 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Hawkins 15 0-3 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Matt Ryan 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter