🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -
Points Off/Def 71.6% 28.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (123-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 45 9-22 2-7 11-13 13 6 0 0 31 - -
Derrick White * 41 8-11 5-6 1-1 7 5 1 0 22 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 40 8-20 2-7 2-3 7 2 1 3 20 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 9-17 0-3 0-0 1 4 2 2 18 - -
Jrue Holiday * 36 5-11 3-6 0-0 7 5 1 1 13 - -
Sam Hauser 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 46 18-44 6-19 2-2 7 7 2 1 44 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 43 9-19 2-8 4-4 7 5 1 0 24 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 39 8-16 5-9 0-3 13 1 0 0 21 - -
Vit Krejci * 35 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Clint Capela * 33 6-8 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 2 12 - -
Wesley Matthews 23 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 3 1 1 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 19 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 16 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Trent Forrest 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter