Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -7 (97-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 12-20 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 31 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 41 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 16 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter