Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (126-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 46 | 14-24 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 43 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 42 | 8-18 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 13 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 9-23 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 12-20 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 33 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 25 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 21 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter