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2024-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% -
Log Adjusted 8.1% 91.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (106-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chimezie Metu * 32 3-8 1-3 1-1 7 2 2 1 8 - -
Marcus Sasser * 32 2-11 1-6 2-2 4 5 1 0 7 - -
Tosan Evbuomwan * 29 1-3 1-3 0-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Cade Cunningham * 28 11-23 3-8 7-8 1 2 1 0 32 - -
Jalen Duren * 25 4-6 0-0 3-4 11 4 0 0 11 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 5 - -
James Wiseman 22 2-4 0-0 7-8 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Malachi Flynn 19 6-9 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 14 - -
Evan Fournier 15 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 - -
Buddy Boeheim 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Rhoden 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 34 5-5 0-0 1-1 14 4 0 2 11 - -
Naz Reid * 30 9-18 1-8 2-2 10 4 0 0 21 - -
Anthony Edwards * 29 4-11 1-4 0-2 3 5 1 0 9 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 28 8-14 3-7 1-1 4 0 0 0 20 - -
Mike Conley * 24 3-8 1-5 2-2 0 7 2 1 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25 4-9 3-7 0-1 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 22 5-8 0-0 4-5 4 5 2 0 14 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Monte Morris 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 - -
T.J. Warren 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Leonard Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter