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2024-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (124-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 35 11-14 7-8 3-4 10 1 0 2 32 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 4-12 0-4 5-5 2 11 0 0 13 - -
LeBron James * 34 8-14 0-1 7-11 14 12 1 0 23 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 30 6-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 14 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 7-16 5-9 4-4 2 4 1 0 23 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 25 4-7 3-4 3-3 7 1 1 1 14 - -
Taurean Prince 23 4-5 3-4 4-6 1 1 0 0 15 - -
Cam Reddish 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Max Christie 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colin Castleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 39 8-17 4-9 6-6 4 16 1 0 26 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 6-16 0-4 5-6 9 3 3 1 17 - -
GG Jackson * 28 3-9 2-6 2-2 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Santi Aldama * 27 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 25 4-9 2-4 1-2 2 2 2 1 11 - -
Jake LaRavia 31 9-14 7-9 0-1 6 4 1 0 25 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 3-7 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 20 5-13 0-4 1-1 4 2 1 0 11 - -
DeJon Jarreau 9 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 8 - -
Maozinha Pereira 1 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter