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2024-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (25.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +26 (125-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 33 7-12 3-5 1-2 5 2 2 0 18 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 4-15 3-11 2-3 4 5 0 0 13 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 2-7 1-1 9-11 8 5 0 0 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 27 2-11 2-9 0-0 5 3 0 0 6 - -
Myles Turner * 24 4-10 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 1 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 5-9 0-1 2-2 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Smith 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 2 1 1 5 - -
Ben Sheppard 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Doug McDermott 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Jackson 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 6 - -
Kendall Brown 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
James Johnson 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-18 1-4 8-10 6 2 1 0 27 - -
Coby White * 35 8-21 2-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 18 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 33 7-11 3-5 0-0 3 4 0 2 17 - -
Alex Caruso * 28 5-10 2-5 0-0 7 7 2 0 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 28 9-20 1-4 3-3 12 2 0 1 22 - -
Javonte Green 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Andre Drummond 17 5-8 0-0 4-5 11 3 3 0 14 - -
Torrey Craig 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Dalen Terry 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 - -
Jevon Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Onuralp Bitim 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Terry Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter