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2024-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (93-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 8-17 3-6 4-5 6 1 0 2 23 - -
Stephen Curry * 35 6-18 3-8 2-2 4 10 0 0 17 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 33 4-8 0-1 0-0 14 3 1 1 8 - -
Klay Thompson * 32 6-13 3-8 0-0 0 2 0 0 15 - -
Draymond Green * 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 23 4-9 0-4 4-4 5 3 0 0 12 - -
Brandin Podziemski 21 3-10 0-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 6 - -
Gary Payton II 18 5-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 1 10 - -
Chris Paul 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 - -
Gui Santos 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 32 5-17 1-7 4-7 8 5 0 1 15 - -
Franz Wagner * 30 6-14 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Suggs * 25 1-7 1-5 1-2 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 18 3-7 0-2 1-3 6 0 2 0 7 - -
Markelle Fultz * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -
Cole Anthony 32 10-17 5-8 1-2 7 4 1 1 26 - -
Joe Ingles 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -
Jonathan Isaac 24 3-5 2-3 1-2 5 1 1 2 9 - -
Moritz Wagner 20 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 7 2 0 6 - -
Anthony Black 14 2-5 1-2 1-3 1 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter