Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (35.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -36 (96-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Dante Exum | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 6-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Alex Len | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Colby Jones | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Mason Jones | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Jalen Slawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter