Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.2% | 3.8% | -17.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (112-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 33 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 41 | 8-24 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter