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2024-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -4 (124-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 51 12-31 3-8 7-7 23 2 2 4 34 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 50 7-22 5-12 10-10 7 12 2 1 29 - -
Austin Reaves * 47 10-20 4-11 5-6 14 10 0 2 29 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 42 1-8 1-5 4-4 2 4 0 1 7 - -
Rui Hachimura * 38 7-14 0-2 2-2 14 1 0 0 16 - -
Taurean Prince 28 3-10 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Max Christie 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 49 9-29 3-14 6-7 5 8 1 0 27 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 46 14-25 0-1 1-6 21 11 2 3 29 - -
Malik Beasley * 40 8-18 5-14 0-0 3 1 1 1 21 - -
Khris Middleton * 38 4-15 2-7 2-2 6 7 1 0 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 33 4-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 30 7-15 2-3 2-2 13 0 1 1 18 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 9 0 0 3 - -
Jae Crowder 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
AJ Green 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter