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2024-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Log Adjusted 47.5% 52.5% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -17 (116-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 30 7-12 6-9 1-1 1 9 2 0 21 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 12-20 1-2 6-8 4 2 0 0 31 - -
Myles Turner * 26 8-12 4-6 4-6 7 0 0 1 24 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 24 4-9 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Ben Sheppard * 21 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 0 2 0 7 - -
Jarace Walker 29 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 7 1 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 24 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 7-14 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 15 - -
Jalen Smith 13 3-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 2 9 - -
Doug McDermott 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendall Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Jackson 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 11-18 1-2 3-3 4 3 0 2 26 - -
Paul George * 33 12-18 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 1 26 - -
James Harden * 33 3-7 0-1 5-5 3 7 1 0 11 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 0 9 - -
Terance Mann * 17 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Norman Powell 30 8-13 2-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 22 - -
Amir Coffey 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Russell Westbrook 18 5-10 0-2 4-6 4 7 0 0 14 - -
P.J. Tucker 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Bones Hyland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Xavier Moon 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter