Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -10 (105-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 10-24 | 2-11 | 7-8 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 28 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 33 | 10-19 | 6-9 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 30 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 29 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 33 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Micah Potter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter