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2024-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% -
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +25 (128-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 32 6-14 2-6 1-1 3 3 1 0 15 - -
Santi Aldama * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 9 3 1 4 5 - -
GG Jackson * 30 6-15 2-8 1-1 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 26 4-18 1-7 2-4 4 5 2 4 11 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 26 5-9 3-6 4-4 2 4 0 0 17 - -
Lamar Stevens 22 6-10 0-1 7-7 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Jake LaRavia 22 1-9 0-7 1-4 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Trey Jemison 21 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 8 - -
DeJon Jarreau 20 2-6 1-4 0-3 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Maozinha Pereira 5 2-4 1-2 0-1 5 0 1 0 5 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 30 11-18 1-2 6-7 11 8 3 1 29 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 25 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Reggie Jackson * 24 4-9 2-3 5-5 1 8 1 0 15 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 22 4-7 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Christian Braun * 22 8-10 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 17 - -
Justin Holiday 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Collin Gillespie 21 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 7 1 0 4 - -
Peyton Watson 21 4-9 0-1 2-2 9 2 1 3 10 - -
Julian Strawther 21 5-11 2-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 14 - -
DeAndre Jordan 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 - -
Hunter Tyson 4 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Pickett 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Braxton Key 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jay Huff 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter