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2024-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +2.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 14-28 3-10 5-7 6 4 1 3 36 - -
Kevin Durant * 36 12-17 4-6 1-2 8 6 1 0 29 - -
Grayson Allen * 34 2-5 0-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Bradley Beal * 30 4-11 1-4 0-0 5 6 2 0 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 19 3-9 0-0 0-2 9 4 1 2 6 - -
Royce O'Neale 25 5-6 2-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 12 - -
Eric Gordon 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Sochan * 35 10-19 1-7 5-5 18 1 1 1 26 - -
Devin Vassell * 35 11-24 2-9 2-2 4 7 3 0 26 - -
Zach Collins * 30 7-14 0-3 4-6 5 3 1 0 18 - -
Tre Jones * 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 - -
Julian Champagnie * 20 2-5 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Keldon Johnson 30 5-9 2-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 14 - -
Blake Wesley 20 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 - -
Dominick Barlow 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Cedi Osman 15 2-4 2-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Malaki Branham 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter