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2024-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% -
Margin 80.4% 19.6% -7.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -
Points Off/Def 71.6% 28.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (120-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 13-26 2-7 9-11 8 5 2 1 37 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 10-22 2-7 2-4 4 1 2 0 24 - -
Al Horford * 35 3-5 1-2 0-0 9 2 1 1 7 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 7-14 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 3 17 - -
Sam Hauser * 26 2-10 2-10 0-0 5 0 2 2 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 7-12 1-5 0-2 5 6 0 0 15 - -
Oshae Brissett 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaden Springer 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 40 8-22 2-9 1-4 5 15 3 0 19 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 39 8-15 4-7 2-3 4 3 1 0 22 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 8-14 4-8 4-4 7 3 0 0 24 - -
Vit Krejci * 32 6-11 4-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 16 - -
Clint Capela * 29 6-10 0-0 2-4 12 3 0 2 14 - -
Garrison Mathews 18 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Bruno Fernando 18 6-7 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Wesley Matthews 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Trent Forrest 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Dylan Windler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter