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2024-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (150-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 5-13 2-6 0-0 6 10 2 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 16-29 0-2 4-8 12 2 0 0 36 - -
Myles Turner * 28 7-12 4-6 2-4 5 3 0 2 20 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 26 7-9 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 15 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 26 4-8 3-5 2-2 3 4 0 2 13 - -
Doug McDermott 21 5-8 4-7 0-0 0 3 1 0 14 - -
Obi Toppin 19 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 8-15 1-1 0-1 3 7 1 0 17 - -
Ben Sheppard 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Jackson 13 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 40 15-21 1-2 5-5 16 3 2 1 36 - -
LeBron James * 38 8-19 2-4 8-8 5 10 1 1 26 - -
Austin Reaves * 37 6-13 2-5 11-12 5 8 0 1 25 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 8-11 2-3 8-9 2 5 1 2 26 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Cam Reddish 22 1-5 1-3 4-6 0 0 2 0 7 - -
Taurean Prince 19 6-8 2-3 0-1 2 0 0 1 14 - -
Max Christie 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter