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2024-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 31 5-9 2-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 12 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 30 6-11 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 1 14 - -
Stephen Curry * 29 9-21 5-11 8-8 4 3 0 0 31 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 24 4-8 2-3 5-7 4 0 2 0 15 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 18 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Klay Thompson 32 6-15 3-11 1-1 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 28 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 0 3 2 6 - -
Gary Payton II 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 7 1 0 2 - -
Chris Paul 20 3-8 1-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 7 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 7-18 4-8 5-8 6 8 0 0 23 - -
Rudy Gobert * 37 7-10 0-0 3-3 12 2 0 1 17 - -
Mike Conley * 30 5-12 3-7 1-2 1 7 4 0 14 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Naz Reid * 28 7-11 6-8 0-0 12 0 1 2 20 - -
Kyle Anderson 25 3-9 0-0 4-5 6 5 2 1 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 4-7 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Monte Morris 17 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 2 1 8 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter