Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -9.9 | ✗ (34.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +25 (118-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 29 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 27 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 17 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter