Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✗ (41.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +37 (121-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 31 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 30 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 24 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter