Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -25 (106-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 14-24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 22 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 15 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 8 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter