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2024-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 70.6% 29.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% -
Margin 78.3% 21.7% -7.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (112-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 10-26 1-7 10-10 4 2 3 0 31 - -
Gradey Dick * 33 6-13 3-8 2-2 2 2 0 1 17 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 32 6-12 0-5 0-3 9 2 1 2 12 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 32 4-11 0-1 6-6 6 10 2 1 14 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey * 18 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Bruce Brown 32 5-13 0-1 1-3 6 3 1 0 11 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 4 - -
Jordan Nwora 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Garrett Temple 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 3 - -
Mouhamadou Gueye 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 38 6-14 2-8 4-4 4 12 3 0 18 - -
Deni Avdija * 35 8-19 3-8 3-6 13 5 1 0 22 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-18 0-3 2-4 9 5 0 0 16 - -
Corey Kispert * 33 7-12 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 18 - -
Richaun Holmes * 28 6-9 0-0 3-4 14 0 0 2 15 - -
Jared Butler 19 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Johnny Davis 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Marvin Bagley III 16 4-7 1-2 1-1 8 0 0 2 10 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 3 2 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter