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2024-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -2 (107-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 7-14 1-3 6-6 14 8 1 0 21 - -
Keegan Murray * 37 8-12 6-7 0-0 7 2 0 2 22 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 3-10 0-4 3-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Keon Ellis * 36 7-12 4-9 1-2 5 6 2 1 19 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 10-22 3-12 8-9 8 2 3 0 31 - -
Malik Monk 22 0-11 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 - -
Davion Mitchell 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Chris Duarte 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Alex Len 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 8-18 1-6 5-5 7 5 0 1 22 - -
Jalen Suggs * 35 3-10 1-5 2-4 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Franz Wagner * 35 8-14 1-4 1-2 3 4 0 0 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 1-6 0-3 1-2 11 1 0 0 3 - -
Caleb Houstan * 11 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Cole Anthony 30 7-15 2-7 0-0 7 6 1 0 16 - -
Jonathan Isaac 22 10-13 3-4 2-3 7 0 1 2 25 - -
Markelle Fultz 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Joe Ingles 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter