Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -12 (111-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 37 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 28 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 31 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 21 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 9-24 | 6-18 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 29 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Klay Thompson | 28 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - | |
| Chris Paul | 24 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 6 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter