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2024-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (97-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
GG Jackson * 36 5-16 2-8 2-4 8 3 0 0 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 11-22 2-6 4-6 7 2 1 2 28 - -
Santi Aldama * 33 5-10 3-6 2-2 13 3 0 1 15 - -
John Konchar * 33 2-5 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 - -
Jake LaRavia 27 3-8 1-3 8-9 5 1 1 0 15 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 23 6-9 2-2 4-8 3 2 4 0 18 - -
Maozinha Pereira 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
DeJon Jarreau 11 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 37 10-17 2-6 5-5 4 4 1 0 27 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 33 11-24 3-12 6-10 16 5 2 3 31 - -
Tre Jones * 32 7-13 2-4 0-0 7 5 2 0 16 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 30 3-13 0-4 0-0 10 4 4 1 6 - -
Julian Champagnie * 16 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 1 2 2 1 - -
Keldon Johnson 29 2-9 0-4 4-6 8 1 0 0 8 - -
Malaki Branham 17 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Zach Collins 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Blake Wesley 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter