Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✗ (33.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -23 (88-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 12-21 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 22 | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 31 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 30 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Patty Mills * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Cole Swider | 18 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 16 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 13 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter