Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -20 (103-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 27 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 26 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gradey Dick * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 27 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 21 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter