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2024-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +13 (128-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 39 11-26 3-10 4-5 9 10 4 0 29 - -
Vit Krejci * 37 4-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 36 6-13 4-7 0-1 2 3 1 0 16 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 5-13 3-7 9-10 4 1 2 0 22 - -
Clint Capela * 24 5-10 0-0 3-5 10 2 0 2 13 - -
Garrison Mathews 21 2-5 0-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 4-7 2-4 2-2 4 9 0 1 12 - -
Kevin Durant * 36 5-15 2-8 7-7 4 2 0 3 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 35 4-8 3-7 2-2 3 4 1 2 13 - -
Devin Booker * 31 10-15 6-8 4-4 4 2 0 0 30 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 1-5 0-0 5-8 10 2 1 0 7 - -
Eric Gordon 24 8-11 4-6 1-1 1 5 2 0 21 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 3 7 - -
Royce O'Neale 15 5-7 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 14 - -
Bol Bol 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 5 - -

* = starter