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2024-03-22

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (113-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles McBride * 44 4-9 1-5 2-2 3 3 1 1 11 - -
Josh Hart * 35 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Brunson * 34 11-23 2-7 2-3 2 9 0 0 26 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 4-11 3-8 0-0 2 4 2 1 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 26 8-10 0-0 4-5 8 3 1 2 20 - -
Precious Achiuwa 25 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 2 9 - -
Alec Burks 20 5-11 3-6 5-7 5 1 2 0 18 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic 14 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 39 12-23 0-1 6-7 14 11 1 0 30 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 36 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 3 1 3 6 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 36 13-16 3-6 2-2 8 0 0 0 31 - -
Aaron Gordon * 35 5-9 0-0 0-1 4 8 1 0 10 - -
Jamal Murray * 34 9-20 1-2 4-4 6 4 2 0 23 - -
Christian Braun 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Reggie Jackson 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 1 4 - -
Peyton Watson 12 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Justin Holiday 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre Jordan 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter