Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 35 | 6-20 | 1-9 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 27 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 33 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Micah Potter | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 11-23 | 4-10 | 8-12 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter