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2024-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% -
Margin 76.4% 23.6% -6.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (109-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 38 6-9 0-0 2-2 14 6 0 0 14 25 -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 10-30 5-15 0-0 5 5 6 1 25 12 -
Keegan Murray * 29 7-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 2 16 10 -
Harrison Barnes * 28 3-7 0-2 6-8 2 1 1 1 12 10 -
Keon Ellis * 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
Malik Monk 29 6-13 1-7 7-7 1 4 1 1 20 14 -
Davion Mitchell 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 6 -
Chris Duarte 19 1-8 1-7 0-0 3 2 1 2 3 3 -
Kessler Edwards 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 6 -
Alex Len 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 37 6-9 1-4 2-6 3 2 1 0 15 12 -
Kyle Kuzma * 36 13-22 3-6 2-2 6 5 1 1 31 22 -
Jordan Poole * 35 5-11 1-4 3-3 2 2 3 0 14 10 -
Deni Avdija * 31 7-14 2-3 1-3 9 5 0 0 17 17 -
Richaun Holmes * 29 2-9 0-0 2-2 16 2 0 1 6 16 -
Jared Butler 19 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 8 7 -
Anthony Gill 18 2-4 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 8 8 -
Johnny Davis 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 6 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 9 2-3 1-2 1-1 2 0 1 1 6 7 -
Justin Champagnie 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter