🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-03-21

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 33 6-12 3-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 18 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 5-6 0-1 3-4 6 5 1 0 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 8-15 0-0 4-6 7 2 2 1 20 - -
Brandon Ingram * 21 7-12 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 14 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Trey Murphy III 29 6-10 3-5 6-7 3 0 1 0 21 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Hawkins 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Matt Ryan 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 33 9-18 2-5 0-2 10 11 1 0 20 - -
Jalen Suggs * 27 7-14 3-8 5-6 1 2 1 0 22 - -
Franz Wagner * 27 7-13 2-5 2-2 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 4-7 0-2 0-3 6 4 3 1 8 - -
Gary Harris * 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Markelle Fultz 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 6 - -
Cole Anthony 18 3-8 2-4 2-2 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Jonathan Isaac 15 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 9 - -
Joe Ingles 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 - -
Moritz Wagner 14 5-5 2-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Caleb Houstan 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Black 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Chuma Okeke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter