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2024-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -
Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +21 (137-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
GG Jackson * 34 11-19 7-14 6-7 5 3 0 0 35 - -
Santi Aldama * 34 9-18 6-12 3-4 9 4 2 1 27 - -
John Konchar * 32 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 5 1 0 0 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 13-21 1-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 28 - -
Desmond Bane * 24 2-13 2-9 0-0 1 4 0 1 6 - -
Jake LaRavia 31 3-10 2-6 4-5 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Trey Jemison 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
DeJon Jarreau 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 10 5 0 0 2 - -
Maozinha Pereira 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 29 9-14 4-6 0-0 10 3 0 1 22 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 28 12-17 2-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 26 - -
Draymond Green * 24 5-10 0-3 0-0 12 7 1 1 10 - -
Stephen Curry * 24 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 3 0 1 14 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 22 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 4 2 0 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 25 6-8 0-0 1-4 5 2 0 2 13 - -
Klay Thompson 25 9-18 5-11 0-0 0 2 1 0 23 - -
Chris Paul 24 5-8 2-3 0-0 4 14 0 0 12 - -
Gary Payton II 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Dario Saric 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Moses Moody 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Gui Santos 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 3 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Pat Spencer 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter