Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (36.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -34 (89-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 28 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 19 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 19 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 12 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Slawson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 32 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 22 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Javon Freeman-Liberty | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter