Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (122-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 11-21 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 33 | 11-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 39 | 9-19 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 38 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter