Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -19 (103-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 26 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 25 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tosan Evbuomwan * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 29 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Buddy Boeheim | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter