Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 33 | 8-16 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 40 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 38 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter