Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (112-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 14-22 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 13-26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 37 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 22 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter