Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (107-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 6-27 | 2-12 | 4-5 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 13-21 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum | 27 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 9-18 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 33 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 29 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 28 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter