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2024-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 81.0% 19.0% -
Margin 93.5% 6.5% -14.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Log Adjusted 75.5% 24.5% -
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -23 (114-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 35 12-21 7-13 11-13 10 3 1 1 42 - -
Fred VanVleet * 32 3-11 1-4 0-1 3 11 2 1 7 - -
Amen Thompson * 32 10-12 0-0 5-7 10 2 0 1 25 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 30 7-13 2-7 2-3 14 0 1 0 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 23 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 20 2-7 1-5 2-2 0 6 2 1 7 - -
Jock Landale 19 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 7 10 - -
Jeff Green 17 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Nate Williams 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Boban Marjanovic 2 1-1 0-0 3-3 0 0 0 0 5 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 35 6-11 4-7 0-2 1 1 0 0 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 27 5-18 2-6 1-1 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Johnny Davis * 27 1-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes * 25 4-5 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 1 12 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. * 20 4-9 1-5 3-5 7 3 1 0 12 - -
Justin Champagnie 31 4-9 2-6 6-6 8 2 2 0 16 - -
Jared Butler 30 7-19 1-6 0-0 3 9 1 1 15 - -
Anthony Gill 22 5-9 2-3 0-0 8 3 0 0 12 - -
Jules Bernard 18 6-11 3-5 1-2 2 4 0 0 16 - -

* = starter