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2024-03-19

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.0 (28.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +31 (136-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 32 9-20 2-11 5-6 9 4 0 1 25 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 6-18 1-9 0-0 5 10 3 0 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 25 5-11 3-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 17 - -
Vit Krejci * 24 5-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 11 - -
Clint Capela * 20 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 10 - -
De'Andre Hunter 26 4-14 0-5 0-0 1 3 1 1 8 - -
Trent Forrest 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 - -
Garrison Mathews 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 5-7 1-3 0-1 4 2 2 0 11 - -
Wesley Matthews 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 9 1-3 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 1 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 31 10-14 1-2 1-2 15 6 2 1 22 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 30 8-14 6-10 5-5 4 10 1 0 27 - -
LeBron James * 28 10-14 2-5 3-3 7 10 0 0 25 - -
Austin Reaves * 28 4-9 0-3 4-4 6 4 1 1 12 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 7-10 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Max Christie 22 4-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Taurean Prince 19 3-8 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Skylar Mays 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Maxwell Lewis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter