Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (98-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 33 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 41 | 11-24 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 38 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| KJ Martin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter