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2024-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -
Points Off/Def 11.7% 88.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +25 (119-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Umude * 34 3-7 1-4 3-3 6 1 0 0 10 - -
Marcus Sasser * 34 4-12 0-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 8 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 10-19 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 1 21 - -
Jalen Duren * 21 3-7 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
James Wiseman 26 4-10 0-0 4-4 5 3 1 2 12 - -
Evan Fournier 22 1-9 1-7 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 3-8 2-5 3-4 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Tosan Evbuomwan 17 4-5 2-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Taj Gibson 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Pritchard * 37 8-14 5-9 2-2 2 7 0 0 23 - -
Derrick White * 36 8-20 6-12 0-0 10 10 2 1 22 - -
Jaylen Brown * 30 11-20 3-6 6-8 7 3 1 0 31 - -
Luke Kornet * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 3 4 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 21 7-14 5-9 1-1 8 1 1 1 20 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 6 - -
Jaden Springer 21 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 2 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 18 1-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Jordan Walsh 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter