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2024-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% -
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% -
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 37 7-15 1-5 8-11 8 11 1 1 23 - -
Darius Garland * 36 5-18 1-9 2-4 6 7 2 0 13 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 8-12 0-0 7-8 9 1 1 1 23 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Georges Niang * 33 5-8 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Sam Merrill 24 3-8 2-6 3-3 1 1 1 1 11 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 19 5-7 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson 14 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nesmith * 35 4-9 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 4-14 1-9 5-5 6 12 1 1 14 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 31 4-8 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 9 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 9-18 0-1 1-4 12 1 1 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 28 5-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 7-11 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 14 - -
Obi Toppin 19 4-6 1-2 1-1 8 2 1 0 10 - -
Ben Sheppard 19 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 19 3-9 2-7 3-6 8 1 0 1 11 - -

* = starter