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2024-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ochai Agbaji * 31 4-10 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 4-15 0-6 4-5 7 5 0 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 30 6-12 2-6 1-1 4 3 3 1 15 - -
Gradey Dick * 26 4-11 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 25 5-8 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 11 - -
Jordan Nwora 25 7-9 1-3 3-3 7 1 0 1 18 - -
Bruce Brown 22 3-6 0-1 6-6 0 4 0 0 12 - -
Jontay Porter 22 2-5 0-2 0-0 7 3 1 1 4 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 18 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 5 - -
Javon Freeman-Liberty 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 35 11-16 4-7 3-6 6 5 1 1 29 - -
Franz Wagner * 30 8-13 0-2 6-6 8 4 0 1 22 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Gary Harris * 26 3-9 1-7 0-1 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Suggs * 20 3-6 2-2 2-2 2 2 2 1 10 - -
Cole Anthony 25 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Moritz Wagner 17 6-9 1-3 1-1 4 1 0 1 14 - -
Caleb Houstan 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Markelle Fultz 14 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Joe Ingles 13 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jett Howard 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Black 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Chuma Okeke 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter