Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (140-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 40 | 11-22 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 26 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 31 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 29 | 13-20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter