Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -7 (121-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 12-24 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 29 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson | 29 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 40 | 9-21 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 15-23 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter