Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.6% | 19.4% | -7.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 19 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santi Aldama * | 38 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeJon Jarreau | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter