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2024-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +14 (117-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac Okoro * 33 4-12 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Darius Garland * 33 5-13 1-6 1-2 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Georges Niang * 28 4-8 2-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 3 10 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 25 4-13 3-8 2-2 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Caris LeVert 31 8-14 1-4 4-5 3 7 3 1 21 - -
Sam Merrill 28 3-5 3-5 2-2 8 2 0 1 11 - -
Tristan Thompson 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Damian Jones 11 1-4 0-2 1-1 6 1 0 1 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 35 5-15 3-8 0-0 5 16 1 1 13 - -
Jalen Green * 33 9-20 4-9 4-6 11 4 1 2 26 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 32 8-13 3-5 1-1 7 2 1 3 20 - -
Amen Thompson * 26 8-11 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 0 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 5-12 2-6 0-0 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Jeff Green 25 4-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Jock Landale 17 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 12 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Nate Williams 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter