Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -11 (106-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 13-19 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 24 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 26 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter